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Sunday, June 16, 2013

Land Ho!


Land Ho!

In the days of sailing ships, a reliable sailor climbed up and sat high up the main mast in a “crow’s nest” perch, and it was his job to look out for dangerous reefs, shoals, other ships, anything unusual in the weather, and essentially, land, as soon as it appeared on the horizon at the end of a spyglass, the one- eyed gadget used by seafarers then.

What is the economy of Bihar about, says the man in the metaphorical crow’s nest?  Is there anything objectively worthwhile in the so-called Bihar model of development, in the workings of a poor state, compared to say, Modinomics, as applied to the already relatively prosperous state of Gujarat?

Chief Minister Nitish Kumar of Bihar is sometimes mentioned as a  prime ministerial aspirant and doesn’t think much of either his erstwhile BJP deputy Sushil  Modi, or the more famous and dynamic NaMo being projected by the BJP.  

He implies, echoing the ruling UPA, that Modinomics is not what it is made out to be and the Gujarat development model is not suitable elsewhere in India because it does not carry all sections of the population along. The BJP has accused him of treachery openly, now that the JD(U) has pulled out of the NDA, but has for long felt uncomfortable with Mr. Kumar’s barbs and assertions.

Mr. Kumar implies that Mr. Narendra Modi is less than secular, even though the definition of secular as applied here means a pronounced pro-minority tilt rather than the even-handedness to all sections that NaMo favours.

In Gujarat, the Muslims who constitute the largest minority as they do in Bihar, are by no means used at election time and ignored at other times. The Gujarati Muslims have seen the benefits of Narendra Modi’s development economics and voted solidly in several instances for his Government and Party. They do not seem to be haunted by the ghost of the Godhra Riots of 2002, much as some people would like them to be.

In Bihar, the old politics of caste and community continues largely unabated, with a fresh overlay of entitlement politics for economically backward people added to the mix.

Bihar is economically backward because of step-motherly treatment from the Centre, claims Mr. Kumar, blithely ignoring the gross inefficiency and corruption that the state has long suffered, along with horrific law and order problems. This is the same thing that neighbour Ms. Mamata Banerjee of West Bengal, as well as the preceding Left Front Government there have always claimed.

Mr. Kumar has done relatively better, improving both governance and law and order compared to his predecessors, but the Bihar situation, economically and politically, continues to suffer from its legacies.
By way of contrast, Mr. Narendra Modi has made a reasonably good thing better over his successive terms in office in Gujarat. He is therefore sometimes accused of taking undeserved credit by the UPA.

Narendra Modi, as the BJP’s most likely prime ministerial candidate, and current head of the election strategy for the party, is seen as a political threat to his survival by Mr. Kumar . Hence the JD(U) pull-out of the NDA after 17 years, and a possible realignment with the emerging “Federal Front” or the UPA is on the cards.

The UPA however is already loosely allied with Lalu Prasad of Bihar as well as Ram Vilas Paswan who both expect a political windfall out of the parting of BJP and the JD(U) at the state level in  particular.

But after all is said and done, Bihar and UP are inordinately important  to the general elections coming up in a few months. They together account for about 160 seats in the Lok Sabha. Both states are renowned for their politically savvy populations, and willingness to be counted. They  are also largely backward, economically speaking, and the populace and the state government seem to be in denial about their continued inefficiency.

Mr. Kumar sees political capital in this very backwardness of Bihar, and emphasises works to uplift the poorest and most underprivileged from their mire of poverty. He does not so much rely on market- based or private-public sector collaboration or strategies, as entitlement funding.

He relies on the World Bank. He calls for special status for Bihar as a right from the Centre. He tries to join hands and make common cause with other economically backward states. He implies that he is trying to right a wrong of historical neglect suffered by Bihar and others.

Mr. Kumar thinks Modinomics is for the rich and big business. It is not inclusive. It does not carry everybody along. His largely rhetorical economic thinking plays quite well with the voters particularly because of his own underprivileged background and the victimhood politics of Bihar.

Does all this do anything to put Bihar on fast track to development? No it does not. But with the split in the BJP-JD(U) alliance and the impending general elections, the question may have to hang in the air for some more time.

(834 words)
June 17th, 2013

Gautam Mukherjee

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