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Saturday, January 31, 2015

Sorcerer's Apprentice


Sorcerer’s Apprentice

If politics is a form of sorcery, involving the swaying of the masses and the conviction of the classes, it cannot be within everyone’s skill-set or temperamental cup of chai. Some are born to selling chai but become consummate politicians; others are born to politics, but have no aptitude for it.

It does not take a genius to realise that the ‘united’ Congress Party, split once before by a very competent and courageous Indira Gandhi, has no future under the leadership of  her grandson Rahul Gandhi.  Reduced to less than a rump by the verdict of the people already, the Congress is about to involuntarily (through no doing of the High Command that is), splinter into several bits and pieces going forward.

Rahul has displayed little intellectual ability, people skills, stomach, or political acumen, for any work he has done for the Party, despite his interminable Sorcerer’s Apprenticeship. What he possesses in ample measure is a line in hubris and bad manners which he likes putting on public display, as in his treatment of former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, when the poor man was out- of- station on a official visit to America.   

Rahul Gandhi is a known liability, but a designated political heir and illustrious dynast nevertheless, absolutely to the manor born. It is anathema to denounce him in the Congress Party, no matter how repeatedly incompetent he proves himself to be.

The attempt of his minders, like one-time Congress Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Digvijay Singh, current General Secretary, trusted blue-blooded courtier, to explain away Rahul’s shortcomings; constitute acts of great skill in themselves.  Singh’s frequent advocacy that Rahul should take over from his mother as President of the Congress Party, smacks of the aspirations of a would-be regent.

Of course, if it does come about, it will be an excellent strategic development that will work in favour of the ruling BJP. But, it is anybody’s guess which faction of today’s Congress will even accept Rahul Gandhi as its chief.  

As Sonia Gandhi, Congress President for the last 15 years, ran out of ideas learned from a circa 1980s Indira Gandhi, there was nothing to carry the Party over into present times. Except, perhaps the magnitude of the corruption it engendered. Sharad Pawar walked out of a Congress led by her a decade ago, to find his independent identity, and retain his dignity. He has made a good job of surviving it, because of his home base of Maharashtra, and Baramati within it. He has worked with Congress since, at the Centre and in Maharashtra, but without being tied to the High Command’s apron strings. He even played a stellar role in enabling the BJP to form the State Government in Maharashtra very recently. There is a template for others to follow in this, and the experienced hands know it.

Rahul Gandhi, on his part, has even fewer ideas of his own, at least very few that make sense to others. So, even the threat of his imminent elevation to the top job in the Congress party, both in letter and spirit, is splitting the Congress at the seams.

One erstwhile Congress  Minister, a woman and a Dalit to boot, has already crossed over, and now the P Chidabaram camp has raised the flag of open revolt. It is becoming increasingly clear, because senior Chidambaram opted out to return to his flourishing law practice, even before the 2014 general elections. Next, Karti went hammer and tongs, first, followed by Jayanthi Natarajan.

It makes sense for Chidambaram and friends to walk away from the Congress if his faction is to have any future relevance in Tamil Nadu, heading for its own Assembly elections, soon. Others, if they want a political future, more in harmony with the times, will be making tracks too.

The ‘humiliation’, that Natarajan of the infamous  ‘Jayanti Tax’ fame, referred to in her press conference at some length, is nothing new to senior Congressmen. Who took the money? Who held up things in reality? Who will investigate?

But, suffice is to say, all Congress-wallahs  are all terrified of their High Command  culture, that tames all native ambition by having one satrap watch another at all times.  But now, it has become abundantly clear that the Gandhis have lost their magic with the people, and cannot win elections anymore. Also, their Party purse, sustained by the Centre and the States they once ruled, is fast emptying; and along with it their power of patronage.

The old guard, many of whom are nearing, or are in their seventies or more, recognise that they may not get another crack at power. And the likelihood of theBJP retaining power for 10 years at the Centre, and in most of the big states too, is quite intense. They know that their children and followers need new alliances to remain relevant to their political legacies.

 The BJP must know this too, but as they have been at pains to point out, have no agent provocateur role to play in the ongoing disintegration of a grand old party in decline.

(846 words)
January 30th, 2015

Gautam Mukheree

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