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Thursday, January 8, 2015

The Development Juggernaut Is On The Move


The Development Juggernaut Is On the Move

When India became independent, to our credit, not all the Congress stalwarts counted themselves as Leftist. Many, like Sardar Patel, C Rajagopalachari, Dr. Rajendra Prasad, amongst the notables, were decidedly right- of-centre, but their views did not prevail. They were, in fact, roundly ignored by Jawaharlal Nehru, who also had relative youth and longevity on his side.

Rajaji’s Swatantra Party did not do well electorally, and neither did Dr. Shyama Prasad Mookerjee’s efforts, though both had their committed adherents, who have added vastly to their numbers and flowered these 69 years on. Such ideas now, after decades, win elections, as Narendra Modi has demonstrated. The nationalist mood of the times, in the forties and fifties, the sixties and seventies, and for half of the eighties, preferred the rosy promises of socialism.

But we now know that this going down the socialist garden path, as opposed to the capitalist high road, condemned India to decades of negligible growth, rarely more than 2.5%, high inflation, as much as a ruinous 20% per annum, with no  I&B controlled media comment; and ever increasing poverty in a face of a growing population.  Our infrastructure, to date, is patchy, vastly inadequate, and often described as quaint.

So, to create a workable image, the Government of the day, cast itself in the role of an annadata, a benevolent   neo-feudal maibaap, demonising the rich, and feeding the poor with terrible, sub-standard rations, often unfit for human consumption.  The popular films of the time played along with this ethical fiction, without offering any explanation as well.  

The Government wilfully glossed over its own colossal failure. It took no responsibility for perpetuating a Dickensian nightmare and utterly failing to make the economy grow. It ignored the lack of equality and equity on the ground, the opposite of what socialism loved to profess and promise.  Raj Kapoor played his version of the lovable tramp Charlie Chaplin, and was very popular in the USSR as well.

Till the sixties, for all Nehru’s lofty pronouncements, we could not even feed ourselves, and had to go begging for food aid. We received a lot of charity those days, including ‘PL 480’ grain, powdered milk etc. from the generous US, even as we pretended to be non-aligned, and were actually ensconced in the Soviet camp.

Indira Gandhi’s Green Revolution of the seventies changed this basic requirement at least, and the people loved her for it. But the dislike of free enterprise, embedded in the Soviet style Planning Commission from its earliest days, stayed.

It took a highly statistical approach at first, institutionalised under the much in favor PC Mahalonobis. People like TATA Director Freddy Mehta, who was a member at first, quickly lost influence and had to quit. Nehru saw it fit to patronise a young, patriotic and enthusiastic JRD Tata, without taking any of his suggestions on the economy seriously.

The saving grace was that Nehru did allow what he called a ‘mixed economy’, with the private sector at least permitted to exist, albeit under a mistrustful and tight reign, the infamous ‘Licence-Permit Raj’. This, along with very high taxes, forced most of the successful in Indian business and industry to become dishonest and dexterous master manipulators of the system.

This went on for so long, and created so many distortions in the economic reality of this country, that we all got used to it as part of how things had to be, because we were a ‘poor country’. Nobody questioned why we were poor. Sadly, it was a given.

This began to change in the  mid 1980s with the advent of  Rajiv Gandhi, and more forcefully when  economic liberalisation properly began, in 1991; only to lose its way again, after an initial spurt of real change.  Still, it ushered in, from the mid-eighties, a near double-digit rate of growth, for the first time, with transformational consequences.

But if we are about to witness the launch of the much delayed second generation reforms, it is because we are now ready to make a decisive break with the past.  The end of that Planning Commission and the beginning of Niti Aayog, marks this departure, led by a celebrated free-market champion that believes double-digit growth is achievable; given a hefty push to infrastructure, modernisation, and ample utilities.  But, there are other problems today, with a highly uncooperative Opposition.

The Government, stymied in parliament, not in one session, but two, by a noisy filibustering, has begun on its legislative agenda in right earnest via the use of ordinances.  It is interesting to realise that we have forgotten what the obstructions were about in the Monsoon Session, except that they were very much there, and expressed similarly; though the outrage in the Winter Session is still fresh in our minds.

This time, it was about the RSS moving about on Conversions in their Ghar Wapsi Campaign, and some foolish, if salty remarks, made by not very important and inexperienced BJP MPs in the House. These were further amplified by certain Sangh Parivar fringe elements on the outside.  The whole noisy bunch have now been curbed by RSS Chief Mohan Bhagwat, stepping into the breach and fray, rightly to assist the first majority Government in 30 years

Still, it will be interesting to see if an electorally marginalised Opposition is going to do its sworn duty even in the Budget Session, by behaving any better, or resort to further noisy scenes over  found and fresh issues, to try and stop all progress.

But, refusing to be side-tracked by all this, the Government is pressing on, determined to pick up the pace on its development agenda, lagging also because of its divided concentration on a spate of Assembly elections, bunched together over the last few months. Fortunately, these state elections have yielded good dividends for the BJP, making it all worth their while.

The latest on the anvil, now that the Government is back to business, is the restarting of mining, again by Cabinet decision and ordinance. This getting on with things regardless, underlines the absurdity if not futility of the tail attempting to wag the dog as an Opposition strategy, particularly when the dog in question is of the determined sort.

To signal the coming of its free-market philosophy tempered with concern for the poor, the Government has institutionalised the Niti Aayog. This new organisation is widely expected to inject a spirit of competitive development amongst the States of the Union, and boost the prospects of the private sector as well; all the while driving the tempo towards raising the GDP as soon as possible.

 (1,098 words)
January 6th, 2015

Gautam  Mukherjee

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